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DAX technical analysis & trade idea (contrarian long!) | Forexlive

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September 27, 2022
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  • DAX is an fairness market index that tracks the efficiency of the 40 most vital blue chip companies primarily based in Germany that commerce on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
  • Some merchants comply with the DAX as a “inform” and sign for US equities, as properly, amongst different main indicators.
  • In the next DAX technical evaluation video, and commerce concept, I present an anticipation for a low probablity however excessive reward vs threat potential commerce, whereby a help that many others (primarily buying and selling algos) are watching.
  • When a help is damaged, new bears begin taking shorts, and former bulls get stopped out. All of this implies extra promoting. But once they promote, they should promote their contracts to a different participant. So who’s shopping for? Mostly institutional corporations, lots of which see the retail merchants as fish and themselves as sharks that wish to eat them. The huge sharks are even buying order flow data from platforms like RobinHood
  • When most retailer merchants see a help damaged, they go brief. most of the others that held on to their Long, promote and exit. This implies that we are able to assume that new promote orders will likely be accumilating by the herd. Now, they could be proper, and the is perhaps incorrect. No one actually is aware of, and I have no idea, both. But what we are able to assume is that these sharks have a temptation to take the chips from the fish, and, thus, are motivated to govern the value to the opposite route. That different route means to be a contrarian.
  • But don’t get the incorrect concept, this idea nonetheless goes in opposition to the pattern. If shopping for stress was so robust for a wide range of causes, then patrons wouldn’t await value to cross down the help. Buyers can be dashing in to purchase, beforehand.
  • Accordingly, going in opposition to this pattern implies that the probablity of successful on this commerce is decrease than 50%. Sometimes, a lot decrease. How low? Nobody is aware of. This is the place buying and selling turns into a mixture of an artwork and science relatively than simply artwork or science.
  • If a commerce presents a comparatively low probablity, then it should show a comparatively excessive reward vs threat ratio. Otherwise, why take it?
  • Here is a scenario, IMHO, that deserves this idea, as I intention for a 4 to 1 reward vs threat
  • This DAX commerce concept nonetheless permits a wholesome room for the cease, because the following DAX technical evaluation video reveals

Trade the DAX at your personal threat and comply with ForexLive.com for extra concepts and views in technical analysis. Last however not least, let me know what you consider the DAX or this commerce concept within the remark part under, the place doable updates to this technical evaluation could also be supplied within the close to future. Thank you.

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